Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:57:31 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 119,000,000 (97.0%), At least 121,000,000 (97.0%), At least 123,000,000 (94.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 119,000,000 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 121,000,000 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 123,000,000 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 124,000,000 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| At least 124,500,000 | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| At least 125,000,000 | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| At least 126,000,000 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| At least 127,000,000 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 129,000,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $18K
- Liquidity: $18K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 119,000,000:
If at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runoff) of Brazil’s 2026 general election, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), including those who cast blank or null votes. Registered voters, abstentions, justified absences and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.
Sources
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