Best LLM at the end of the decade?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Google (24.0%), Anthropic (16.0%), OpenAI (14.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Mon, 07 Jan 2030.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Google24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
Anthropic16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
OpenAI14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Tencent9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Z AI9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Moonshot9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Xiaomi9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
xAI7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
DeepSeek7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
MiniMax7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Mistral7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Essential AI6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
NVIDIA6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Alibaba6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Microsoft5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Sources

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