Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:55:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price above 1495 (26.0%), above 1490 (26.0%), above 1510 (26.0%). The market has $132K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
above 149526.0%26.0¢74.0¢
above 149026.0%26.0¢74.0¢
above 151026.0%26.0¢74.0¢
above 150025.0%25.0¢75.0¢
above 150525.0%25.0¢75.0¢
above 151524.0%24.0¢76.0¢
above 152022.0%22.0¢78.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for above 1495:

If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1495 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Any Gemini model added to the leaderboard labeled as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" or greater will qualify. If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.

Sources

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