Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price OpenAI (82.0%), Anthropic (81.0%), Xiaomi (57.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Anthropic | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Xiaomi | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ | |
| Z AI | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Meta | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Alibaba | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| DeepSeek | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| xAI | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Tencent | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Moonshot AI | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| MiniMax | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Mistral | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| StepFun | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| NVIDIA | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Sources
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