Next Fed rate cut?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2029 (88.0%), Before July 2028 (68.0%), Before 2028 (48.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2029 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Before July 2028 | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Before 2028 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Before July 2027 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Before 2027 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2029:
If the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate at least once after market Issuance and on or before December 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must occur after market issuance and by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. The announcement date controls, regardless of when the reduction takes effect. Announcements outside regularly scheduled FOMC meetings count. Each deadline is evaluated separately. A qualifying announcement may cause multiple markets to resolve to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
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