Tesla energy deployment in Q4

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 8 GWh (97.0%), Above 10 GWh (89.0%), Above 12 GWh (84.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 02 May 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 8 GWh97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 10 GWh89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
Above 12 GWh84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
Above 14 GWh82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Above 16 GWh67.0%67.0¢33.0¢
Above 18 GWh47.0%47.0¢53.0¢
Above 20 GWh26.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Above 22 GWh12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Above 24 GWh6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 8 GWh:

If Tesla reports Above 8 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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