Tesla total deliveries this year

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.55 million (97.0%), Above 1.6 million (97.0%), Above 1.65 million (96.0%). The market has $65K in volume and closes on Mon, 31 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 1.55 million97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 1.6 million97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 1.65 million96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 1.5 million95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above 1.7 million91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Above 1.75 million90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Above 1.8 million72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
Above 1.85 million18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Above 1.9 million10.0%10.0¢90.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.55 million:

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 1550000.0 total deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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