When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2027 (61.0%), Before November (5.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Before November | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2027:
If Waymo officially announces 1 million paid rides per week before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Sources
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