Tesla production next quarter

As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 07:03:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 325,000 (94.0%), Above 350,000 (87.0%), Above 375,000 (83.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sat, 31 Jul 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 325,00094.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Above 350,00087.0%87.0¢13.0¢
Above 375,00083.0%83.0¢17.0¢
Above 400,00076.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Above 425,00058.0%58.0¢42.0¢
Above 450,00030.0%30.0¢70.0¢
Above 475,00016.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Above 525,0008.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 550,0007.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above 500,0007.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above 575,0006.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 325,000:

If Tesla reports Above 325000 total production in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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