Erdoğan out by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:49:52 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (30.5%), December 31, 2026 (3.5%). The market has $650K in volume and closes on Fri, 31 Dec 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 30.5% | 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $650K
- Liquidity: $63K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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