Berlin state election winner?
As of Sun, 20 Sep 2026 13:20:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Die Linke (99.0%), CDU (2.0%), FDP (1.0%). The market has $32K in volume and closes on Mon, 20 Sep 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Die Linke | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| CDU | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| FDP | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Grüne | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| AfD | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| SPD | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| BSW | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $32K
- Liquidity: $32K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Die Linke:
If Die Linke wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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