Top Coding AI this week
As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 14:11:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price Claude (95.0%), ChatGPT (4.0%), Qwen (2.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 12 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| ChatGPT | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Qwen | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Dola | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| GLM | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Kimi | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Gemini | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Grok | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| MiniMax | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Claude:
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
Related markets
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic release Mythos?
- Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI market share this week
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.