Top AI model this week
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price gemini-4-argon-high (99.0%), claude-fable-5.1-max (1.0%), claude-opus-5.5-high (1.0%). The market has $39K in volume and closes on Mon, 19 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| gemini-4-argon-high | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| claude-fable-5.1-max | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| claude-opus-5.5-high | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $39K
- Liquidity: $39K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for gemini-4-argon-high:
If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Sources
Related markets
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic release Mythos?
- Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI market share this week
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.