Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
As of Wed, 23 Sep 2026 09:10:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Nov 1, 2026 (100.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (100.0%). The market has $487K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $487K
- Liquidity: $487K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Nov 1, 2026:
If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the United States of America before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Sources
Related markets
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which leaders will leave office this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- Nobel Peace Prize winner
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.