Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 19:22:59 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (43.5%), October 31 (4.8%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
December 3143.5%43.5¢56.5¢
October 314.8%4.8¢95.2¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.