Will the debt ceiling be abolished?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (4.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If a bill becomes law that abolishes the debt ceiling (rather than just temporarily suspending or increasing it) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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