Will the House pass additional defense funding?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (35.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (15.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (1.0%). The market has $155K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Aug 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jul 1, 202735.0%35.0¢65.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202715.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Before Oct 1, 20261.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:

If legislation that provides supplemental appropriations to the Department of Defense beyond regular annual defense appropriations has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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