Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 29, 2026 be above 7.22%?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:44:31 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7.22% (72.0%), Above 7.25% (70.0%), Above 7.23% (56.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.22% | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Above 7.25% | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Above 7.23% | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Above 7.26% | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Above 7.28% | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Above 7.29% | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Above 7.31% | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Above 7.24% | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above 7.27% | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Above 7.30% | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Above 7.35% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above 7.32% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above 7.36% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 7.37% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 7.38% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7.22%:
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 29, 2026 is above 7.22%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 29, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.
Sources
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