Which party will win the U.S. House?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:43:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Democratic Party (90.1%), Republican Party (10.0%). The market has $30.6M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 90.1% | 90.1¢ | 9.9¢ |
| Republican Party | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | Opinion | 78.6% | |
| Republican Party | Opinion | 1.1% |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $30.6M
- Liquidity: $44.4M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Democratic Party:
If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
Sources
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