Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
As of Wed, 09 Sep 2026 15:44:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 (44.0%), December 31 (13.5%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| December 31 | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $90K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Sources
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