Will Elon register any party before 2027?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:31:32 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (5.5%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes5.5%5.5¢94.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.

Sources

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