Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
As of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 20:13:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 (15.0%), December 31, 2026 (8.5%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Sources
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