Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
As of Wed, 16 Sep 2026 03:58:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (99.0%). The market has $650K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $650K
- Liquidity: $650K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If California authorizes an alternative wage or provides qualifying relief from goat herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A "Qualifying Action" means: A California statute has become law, whether by the Governor's signature, by passage over a gubernatorial veto under Article IV, Section 10(a) of the California Constitution, or by operation of Article IV, Section 10(b), and regardless of vehicle, including a policy bill, urgency statute, budget bill, budget trailer bill, or special session bill; A regulation finally approved by the California Office of Administrative Law and filed with the California Secretary of State, or an Industrial Welfare Commission wage order that has been amended or republished and has taken effect; A written regulation, binding directive, final order, or formal statewide enforcement policy issued by a California state agency, department, board, commission, or officer with authority over the subject matter, including but not limited to the Department of Industrial Relations, the Labor Commissioner and the Division of Labor Standards Enforcement, the Industrial Welfare Commission, the Employment Development Department, the Department of Food and Agriculture, the Department of Forestry and Fire Protection, and the Department of Finance. An opinion letter or official interpretation is included only if it binds the issuing body or expressly states that body's statewide enforcement position; An executiv…
Sources
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