Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY this year?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:04:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (85.0%). The market has $34K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $34K
- Liquidity: $34K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Alaska’s total crude oil field production in calendar year 2026 is above 153.607 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Alaska’s calendar-year total field production of crude oil, measured in barrels. The 153.607 million-barrel baseline is fixed to the 2025 annual total at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike.
Sources
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