WI-03 House election: Derrick Van Orden vote percent
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:06:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 40% (96.0%), At least 42% (90.0%), At least 44% (80.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 40%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derrick Van Orden in the 2026 WI-03 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Derrick Van Orden ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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