Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:48:25 UTC, Polymarket traders price Ursula von der Leyen (63.0%), Mark Rutte (35.0%), Emmanuel Macron (13.0%). The market has $150K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ursula von der Leyen | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Mark Rutte | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Emmanuel Macron | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| António Guterres | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Mark Carney | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| JD Vance | 5.1% | 5.1¢ | 94.8¢ |
| Donald Trump | 4.7% | 4.7¢ | 95.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $150K
- Liquidity: $81K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
Related markets
- Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
- NATO x Russia military clash by...?
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.