Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:43:28 UTC, Polymarket traders price Kaitlan Collins (82.7%), J.B. Pritzker (69.6%), Hakeem Jeffries (66.5%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Sat, 31 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlan Collins | 82.7% | 82.7¢ | 17.3¢ |
| J.B. Pritzker | 69.6% | 69.6¢ | 30.4¢ |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 66.5% | 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 44.5% | 44.5¢ | 55.5¢ |
| Hillary Clinton | 32.5% | 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ |
| Mark Carney | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Stephen Colbert | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Friedrich Merz | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
| Candace Owens | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Zohran Mamdani | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Dario Amodei | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| Ken Paxton | 11.5% | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ |
| Emmanuel Macron | 10.9% | 10.9¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Mike Rogers | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $19K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally o…
Sources
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