Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Luca Niculescu (95.0%), Sorin Grindeanu (4.0%), Alexandru Nazare (2.0%). The market has $64K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Jan 2045.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Luca Niculescu95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Sorin Grindeanu4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Alexandru Nazare2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Eugen Tomac2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Leonardo Badea2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Marcel Ciolacu1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Lucian Croitoru1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Șerban Matei1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Delia Velculescu1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Emil Boc1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Alexandru Rafila1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Sebastian Burduja1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Vasile Dîncu1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Victor Ponta1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Siegfried Mureșan1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Luca Niculescu:

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Romania after Issuance is Luca Niculescu, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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