Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:27:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Wisconsin (52.0%), Michigan (50.0%), Nevada (38.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Tue, 14 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| Michigan | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Nevada | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Arizona | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Pennsylvania | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Wisconsin:
If legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. A state counts once its law joining the compact is enacted, even though the compact takes effect only when member states hold at least 270 electoral votes.
Sources
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