Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:39:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Avengers: Doomsday (62.0%), Spider-Man: Brand New Day (36.0%), The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (0.1%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avengers: Doomsday | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Dune: Messiah | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $63K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources
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