Who will announce a new tour this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Lady Gaga (57.0%), Madonna (53.0%), Dua Lipa (52.0%). The market has $155K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Gaga | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Madonna | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Dua Lipa | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| Frank Ocean | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Adele | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| The Weeknd | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Doja Cat | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| SZA | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Drake | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Bad Bunny | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Rihanna | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Nicki Minaj | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Taylor Swift | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Travis Scott | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Beyoncé | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $155K
- Liquidity: $155K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Lady Gaga:
If Lady Gaga announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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