When will Trump release more UFO files?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 10:03:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (84.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (55.0%), Before Nov 15, 2026 (13.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Before Nov 15, 2026 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:
If the federal government has released, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes. Releases by any part of the federal government count, including releases by Congress or its committees and new tranches posted on the Department of War's war.gov/UFO page. A release counts if it includes at least one document, audio file or video file that existed at Issuance and that the federal government had not released before Issuance, including a previously released file with redactions newly removed. The following do NOT count: Re-posting files only in the same form in which the federal government released them before Issuance Statements, briefings or testimony about UAP that do not release documents, audio files or video files
Sources
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