When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (38.0%), Before Aug 1, 2027 (38.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (36.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Tue, 08 Feb 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 202738.0%38.0¢62.0¢
Before Aug 1, 202738.0%38.0¢62.0¢
Before Apr 1, 202736.0%36.0¢64.0¢
Before Feb 1, 202836.0%36.0¢64.0¢
Before Dec 1, 202611.0%11.0¢89.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.

Sources

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