When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Mar 1, 2027 (41.0%), Before Dec 19, 2026 (30.0%), Before Nov 21, 2026 (5.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sat, 19 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Before Dec 19, 2026 | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Before Nov 21, 2026 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Before Oct 3, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Sep 25, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Mar 1, 2027:
If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date. Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential announcement of intent, formal nomination, committee hearing or report, cloture, or a scheduled vote does NOT constitute confirmation. If his nomination is withdrawn before a deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Sources
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