When will Biden release his presidential memoir?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (97.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (95.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (1.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Apr 1, 202797.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202795.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Before Oct 1, 20261.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:

If Joe Biden’s presidential memoir has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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