What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
As of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:26:35 UTC, Polymarket traders price Isaias (100.0%), Fay (0.1%), Kyle (0.1%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Mon, 30 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isaias | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Fay | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Kyle | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Leah | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Paulette | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Rene | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Sally | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Teddy | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Wilfred | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Vicky | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Marco | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Other | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Omar | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Cristobal | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Josephine | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $82K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Sources
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