How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 00:43:05 UTC, Polymarket traders price 1-3 (97.5%), 4-6 (2.1%), 7+ (0.1%). The market has $39K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | 97.5% | 97.5¢ | 2.5¢ |
| 4-6 | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 97.9¢ |
| 7+ | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $39K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Sources
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