First snow of the 2026 season
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:48:27 UTC, Polymarket traders price Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 (94.8%), Denver, CO by November 30 (92.8%), Pittsburgh, PA by November 30 (89.5%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Fri, 04 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 | 94.8% | 94.8¢ | 5.3¢ |
| Denver, CO by November 30 | 92.8% | 92.8¢ | 7.2¢ |
| Pittsburgh, PA by November 30 | 89.5% | 89.5¢ | 10.5¢ |
| Denver, CO by November 15 | 84.4% | 84.4¢ | 15.6¢ |
| Detroit, MI by November 30 | 82.5% | 82.5¢ | 17.5¢ |
| Minneapolis, MN by November 15 | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Kansas City, MO by November 30 | 77.5% | 77.5¢ | 22.5¢ |
| Indianapolis, IN by November 15 | 76.5% | 76.5¢ | 23.5¢ |
| Minneapolis, MN by November 30 | 74.5% | 74.5¢ | 25.5¢ |
| Pittsburgh, PA by November 15 | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Chicago, IL by November 30 | 72.5% | 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ |
| New York City, NY by November 30 | 66.5% | 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ |
| St. Louis, MO by November 30 | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| Salt Lake City, UT by November 15 | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Buffalo, NY by November 30 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $23K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Salt Lake City, UT by November 30:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Salt Lake City, UT records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Snowfall for Salt Lake City, UT is measured only at station KSLC, which the National Weather Service reports as "SALT LAKE CITY UT" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count. Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window. The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KSLC (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver). Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in…
Sources
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