What will be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 23:17:15 UTC, Polymarket traders price Trump 10+ times (71.0%), Zohran / Mamdani (61.0%), Genocide (50.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 10+ times | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Genocide | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Canada 3+ times | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Palestine / Palestinian | 47.6% | 47.6¢ | 52.4¢ |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Sharia | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Israel / Israeli 10+ times | 32.5% | 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ |
| Yacht | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Fraud | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Flock | 23.5% | 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ |
| AIPAC | 22.5% | 22.5¢ | 77.5¢ |
| Muslim Brotherhood 3+ times | 22.5% | 22.5¢ | 77.5¢ |
| Hasan / Piker | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $934
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The final Michigan U.S. Senate debate is scheduled to take place on October 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is said by Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers, or a moderator during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the Michigan U.S. Senate debate on October 21, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources
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