TX-38 House election: Jon Bonck vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 50% (92.0%), At least 52% (80.0%), At least 54% (63.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 50%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jon Bonck in the 2026 TX-38 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Jon Bonck ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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