TX-03 House election: Keith Self vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 50% (94.0%), At least 52% (83.0%), At least 54% (67.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 50%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 52%83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
At least 54%67.0%67.0¢33.0¢
At least 56%50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
At least 58%35.0%35.0¢65.0¢
At least 60%16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
At least 62%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 64%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 66%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 50%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keith Self in the 2026 TX-03 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Keith Self ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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