Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 12, 2026?
As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 21:33:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price 40+ (94.0%), 30-39 (12.0%), <5 (7.0%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Tue, 13 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40+ | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 30-39 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| <5 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 20-24 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5-9 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 15-19 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 10-14 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 25-29 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $31K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 40+:
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 12, 2026 is at least 40, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Oct 12, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.
Sources
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