Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:28:30 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 260 (96.0%), Above 270 (93.0%), Above 280 (81.0%). The market has $55K in volume and closes on Tue, 27 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 260 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 270 | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above 280 | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 290 | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Above 300 | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Above 310 | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Above 320 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 330 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $55K
- Liquidity: $55K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 260:
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Sources
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