Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 21:06:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 175 (94.0%), Above 180 (84.0%), Above 190 (51.0%). The market has $82K in volume and closes on Tue, 13 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 175 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 180 | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Above 190 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Above 200 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Above 210 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 225 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 220 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 250 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 275 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $82K
- Liquidity: $82K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 175:
If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Sources
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