Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:59:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 185 (99.0%), Above 190 (99.0%), Above 170 (99.0%). The market has $168K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 185 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 190 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 170 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 180 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 200 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 210 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 240 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 250 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 230 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 220 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $168K
- Liquidity: $168K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 185:
If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Sources
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