TN-09 House election: Justin Pearson vote percent

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:06:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 36% (97.0%), At least 38% (91.0%), At least 40% (90.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 36%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 38%91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
At least 40%90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
At least 42%83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
At least 44%80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
At least 46%70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
At least 48%59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
At least 50%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
At least 52%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 36%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Justin Pearson in the 2026 TN-09 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Justin Pearson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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