Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 30% (96.0%), At least 34% (77.0%), At least 38% (56.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Mon, 25 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $15K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 30%:
If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 30% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the Student List - Students Win percentage of valid votes in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election. It is calculated as 100 × the list’s vote count divided by the total valid-ballot count in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places, with exact halfway values rounded up. Preliminary or partial tallies do not qualify. A displayed percentage calculated using all ballots cast is not used; invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from this market’s denominator. This explicitly selects the nationwide general report under POLITICALSTAT’s release-selection provision. Later revisions, corrections or updates to that report do not affect resolution. If no qualifying report is released by expiration, the contract’s last-fair-price rule applies.
Sources
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