SC-07 House election: John Vincent vote percent

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:06:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 32% (98.0%), At least 34% (97.0%), At least 38% (87.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 32%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 34%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 38%87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
At least 40%77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
At least 36%73.0%73.0¢27.0¢
At least 42%71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
At least 44%42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
At least 46%36.0%36.0¢64.0¢
At least 48%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 32%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Vincent in the 2026 SC-07 House election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by John Vincent ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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