Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:54:05 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (14.0%), October 31 (2.6%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| October 31 | 2.6% | 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $16K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi troops enter any part of Taiz Governorate, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Saudi troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia. Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Saudi Arabia who are not members of the Saudi Arabian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Saudi command or on Saudi Arabia’s behalf. Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Saudi-led coalition, will not qualify. "Taiz Governorate" refers to the entirety of Taiz Governorate, Yemen, as defined by its official administrative boundaries. "Enter" means that the Saudi troops, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Taiz Governorate, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Saudi troop entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Saudi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. If the occurrence or timing of a potentially qualify…
Sources
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