São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
As of Sun, 04 Oct 2026 19:35:37 UTC, Kalshi traders price Guilherme Derrite (89.0%), André do Prado (89.0%), Marina Silva (10.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Oct 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Derrite | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| André do Prado | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Marina Silva | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Simone Tebet | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Ricardo Salles | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Geraldo Rufino | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Soninha Francine | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Guilherme Derrite:
If Guilherme Derrite wins the 2026 São Paulo Federal Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive: A candidate “wins” if they finish among the two candidates elected to the Senate. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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